Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.504722 12.106220 13.824252 15.799062 18.000818 20.374587 23.121687
2025-08-31 7.925399 9.996564 12.380605 15.307525 18.782632 22.754672 27.614570
2025-09-07 6.615497 8.939104 11.759146 15.392649 19.905370 25.278831 32.109465
2025-09-14 5.649530 8.104375 11.222203 15.406060 20.799332 27.438456 36.140189
2025-09-21 4.968201 7.518399 10.890142 15.577554 21.815594 29.713330 40.332306
2025-09-28 4.358917 6.939257 10.481966 15.570680 22.542425 31.595194 44.047258
2025-10-05 3.984591 6.637045 10.402348 15.967319 23.784986 34.157598 48.702105
2025-10-12 3.628668 6.314716 10.251722 16.229855 24.827360 36.465357 53.075554
2025-10-19 3.275147 5.952132 10.001146 16.312729 25.596668 38.405570 56.995027
2025-10-26 2.846597 5.419676 9.443809 15.891816 25.601218 39.262619 59.431011
2025-11-02 2.502538 4.984585 8.993096 15.586334 25.735388 40.278838 62.091365
2025-11-09 2.199186 4.582469 8.555931 15.261054 25.804861 41.181747 64.594705
2025-11-16 1.933405 4.218976 8.154499 14.968260 25.912115 42.150780 67.243154
2025-11-23 1.669612 3.826018 7.667071 14.496694 25.707069 42.636724 69.190017
2025-11-30 1.525259 3.642966 7.523761 14.578063 26.365845 44.424917 73.094155
2025-12-07 1.386330 3.453018 7.349968 14.590886 26.905498 46.038953 76.773783
2025-12-14 1.282188 3.321352 7.269487 14.754871 27.691083 48.047828 81.096409
2025-12-21 1.166778 3.150819 7.100670 14.748297 28.185979 49.610379 84.771778
2025-12-28 1.107431 3.096104 7.147380 15.127623 29.340338 52.241652 90.156998
2026-01-04 1.038463 3.010849 7.126415 15.378739 30.281013 54.554392 95.100133
2026-01-11 0.957651 2.887316 7.018036 15.458015 30.922585 56.398035 99.347233
2026-01-18 0.839143 2.655590 6.667881 15.055410 30.695929 56.812490 101.331282
2026-01-25 0.743213 2.465460 6.386354 14.763267 30.645180 57.504212 103.763418